Just a head up to all who are trying to get into the rail game, my view.
Over the past couple of weeks it has become clear that the rail employment scheme is in a massive downturn.
We have already had the announcement that PN will be making 70 drivers redundant, I have even been told they
want five SCIDS to go from NSW coal.
Now we have the news that Rio Tinto is about to start its driverless train trials.
The may result in job cuts this may not. I have been told from different RIO drivers that they are doing this
as they want to increase capacity and there wasn't any drivers left so they went this way. Also been told that
they intend to replace drivers so who knows. we will wait and see.
Now we also have the knowledge that this year the grain may not be too flash hot. Yes we may go into
EL Nino but all you need is rain at the right time and you can remarkably get a good crop.
So in the space of six months as you can see Rio may release over 400+ drivers which would flood the market
and result in probably no trainee intake for 1-4 years I would guess. That's assuming that every driver would want to stay in the driving game. Once a driver is qualified its a lot easier to requalify than new start and cheaper.
Also add into this mix Aurizon(QR) is going through the whole headcount thing so we may still see some drivers freeing up
on the job market.
And to add insult to injury PN has put in a submission for DOO working in NSW and its with ITTSR. If this gets into the hunter valley look how many more could go. This would also compound the effect of the take or pay contract that were signed in 2008-2010 period.
Most of theses contracts have a five year review period where either one can withdraw. Once this five year term comes up a lot of mines will go in to caretaker mode as there are numerous mines running at a loss due to the fact they have to pay for the train if they use it or not.
If you want a career in the rail industry I am saying apply and you may be lucky, but don't get disappointed when you don't get in.
I think over the next five years will be the toughest rail employment scene since NSW and Vic privatisation.
And yes I am a driver at the one of the big two.