Meanwhile the latest Newspoll has the Liberals slightly ahead 51-49 and Malcolm is set to campaign again in South Australia where there's some significant concern from both parties about the likelihood of NXT winning at least two senate seats and perhaps up to three House of Reps seats. I guess we will know this time next week unless it's a repeat of 2010's incredibly close poll.

"[The Greens are] political opportunists and Trots [Trotskyists] hiding behind a gum tree, pretending to be the Labor Party,"

I think Malcolm will be returned as PM, mainly because of the inability of the ALP to win any Vic marginals.

"[The Greens are] political opportunists and Trots [Trotskyists] hiding behind a gum tree, pretending to be the Labor Party,"

Unlike Keating himself, who pretended to be the worker's best friend while quietly selling them out to the big end of town.

I think Malcolm will be returned as PM, mainly because of the inability of the ALP to win any Vic marginals.

I'm inclined to agree, I think the ALP is still on the nose with lots of electorates around Melbourne. A big unknown is the number of people voting either Green or for other minor parties and how this might affect the overall result? We'll know soon enough.

Andrew Bolt has a theory that Turnbull will be toppled by his own party and replaced with Tones the Magnificent as punishment for losing so many seats. That theory supposes that the Liberals will win government in their own right though - because there's no way on earth Tones could negotiate his way into a minority government - he proved in 2010 that he can't lower himself to negotiate that way, he considers it below him.

I've managed to see a more detailed breakdown of the polling for "others".  It makes for some eye-opening reading.

The make-up of the Senate will be real interesting.  Such as:
- The ALA are likely to win 2 Senate seats (1 each from Qld and NSW).
- Ricky Muir likely to hold his seat in Vic due to disaffected ALP voters, although D. Hinch or the DLP is a chance too.
- Jacqui Lambie might just retain her seat.
- NXT will probably have 3 senators from SA.

Tree-changers in QLD might make things difficult for some Nationals MPs: http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/queensland/treechangers-put-nats-at-risk-in-former-strongholds-study-20160628-gpu4u9.html

Little wonder we in Adelaide are being hit with near panic "anti Independent" advertising (both radio and TV) from the Liberal Party

Little wonder we in Adelaide are being hit with near panic "anti Independent" advertising (both radio and TV) from the Liberal Party

Commercial TV has been awash with adverts telling me of impending disaster if I vote for Labor, the Greens or an 'independent' - there'a also be a relentless attack campaign here against Nick Xenophon from the Labor Party, I wonder if that's because they fear him more than the Liberals do?

The Liberal adverts telling me how lucky I am to have the submarines/frigates contract seems to imply it will be taken away if they lose office - my theory is that the contract might get torn up if the economy deteriorates substantially anyway. I was reading the other day that there's some very carefully worded cancellation clauses in that contract that might mean the whole thing could potentially get off-shored or cancelled if the government of the day changes its mind.

Sorry, I couldn't help it. You've no subsedised car industry anymore, but there's no reason to believe a fat defence contract shouldn't have everyone over there feeling like they've been kissed on the balls??

The whole state will probably vote for NXT regardless though?

a few are stupid enough to believe the Mediscare campaign

NSW, a few will go to ALP just because the NSW Premier is being so sucessful...

Is this a bad thing for SA?? Can a local comment?
I'd say it depends on the final look of the parliament as to whether Nick can swing deals in return for his party's vote that gets stuff for his home state, that may not have happened otherwise?

So Don_Dunstan, are you suggesting we could possibly have another hung parliament??

Despite some minor changes, LNP will be back in on a reduced majority (6-7 seats less) but ALP unlikely to pick up one seat in Vic.

The senate will have some minor changes but I doubt too much, but the new biggest challenge for the new LNP govt is getting the budget through, if the senate rejects the budget, realistically the govt may need to go back to the polls. To me this is far more concern that whats happening in the lower house. The question for the Upper House is, did the voters state we want LNP so pass the budget, or did they say we voted for you in the senate to block the budget?

ALP's campaign and its supporter campaign will probably go on the record books as being one of their worst attempts, I mean some of the absolute tripe, misinformation, selective history and irrelevance spread in facebook by some of my friends, seriously!

The polls are now closed in SA and the counting has begun; we'll soon know what the general picture is although the election result itself may not be known for a while?

ALP's campaign and its supporter campaign will probably go on the record books as being one of their worst attempts, I mean some of the absolute tripe, misinformation, selective history and irrelevance spread in facebook by some of my friends, seriously!