Yes, I do believe what I write. I may be persuaded by convincing analysis that my position is wrong, but that doesn’t make my comments any less sincere, nor any less evidence-based.The market simply doesn't exist !
The Melbourne-Sydney city pair has an annual passenger flow of 10.6 million. It supports two passenger trains daily in each direction, and could probably comfortably sustain a third.
Melbourne-Adelaide has 3.8 million. It is absurd to suggest that there should not be at least a daily service.
If you haven't traveled on the Sydney - Melbourne - Sydney XPT train you will find that there Is a large turnover of passengers at regional centres along the way (probably Wagga Wagga to most)
Between Melbourne and Adelaide there simply Isn't the population (Ballarat don't count)
these's no Benalla's, Wangaratta's, Albury - Wodonga's, Wagga Wagga's nor Goulburn's.