Grain Harvest 2019-20

 
  Richard stroker Junior Train Controller

Hasn’t the name been changed to the BS times yet?
Keep up the good work BS

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  kuldalai Chief Commissioner

As was said previously in this thread with China not playing the game in the grain market, it may open up other potential markets.

Drought in northern Africa tipped to increase reliance on wheat imports.

Grain production in the North African countries of Morocco, Algeria and Tunisia has been severely impacted by one of the worst droughts in the past four decades, leading to an increase in regional imports to meet domestic demand requirements.

And any increase in demand in the Mediterranean Sea region can only be good for Australian growers.


According to the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA), the North African region (which also includes Egypt and Libya) is forecast to overtake the Middle East as the world's biggest importer of wheat in the 2020-21 marketing year (July to June) due to the production decline.

Seems like Australia has not been the only country suffering from severe drought over the past few years, with this year shaping up well in the agricultural dept any new market is good news for our exports.

This link came from, you not going to believe this, The Wimmera MailTimes.................

https://www.mailtimes.com.au/story/6794241/welcome-news-for-wheat-growers-as-north-african-region-poised-to-take-more-grain/?cs=12

BigShunter.
BigShunter
ABARE has revised upward further still their predictions for the Victorian Grain Harvest on both wheat and canola, and downwards on barley.  Better get that Inglewood  Eaglehawk line re-opened fast or the rail network will be crippled especially in the Dunolly - Maryborough bottlekneck . As is you can only run one grain train a day on each of the Mnangatang and Sea Lake lines, re-open Eaglehawk - Inglewood and by running trains overnight you can at least double capacity over those two broad gauge lines. Plus frees up capacity on the Mildura sg line by running some bg via Bendigo. Otherwise it has to go by B doubles not a good outcome when an immedaite rail alternative is available at around $ 25m according to media reports.
  trainbrain Chief Commissioner

IVS IBIS due to dock at Portland on 26/6, it appears a couple of grain trains are heading Portland way over the coming week.
  BigShunter Chief Commissioner

Location: St Clair. S.A.
Good news trainbrain, do ya know where the trains are coming from ?

Now Dick a couple of more articles for ya...

Wimmera farming confidence despite dry June.

A Wimmera farmer’s confidence of a second consecutive strong harvest is strengthening following a wetter than average start to the cropping season coupled with the possibility of a key climate driver influencing greater rain later in the year.  

The Bureau of Meteorology’s seasonal winter outlook indicates the likelihood of a drier than average June as a result of a positive phase of the Seasonal Annular Mode, SAM, weather pattern.  

But forecasters have early predictions of a wetter July due to warming ocean temperatures in the Indian Ocean, which is likely to carry moisture south across much of Australia during the later winter months.  


Link from The Stroker Standard..... https://theweeklyadvertiser.com.au/articles/wimmera-farming-confidence-despite-dry-june/?section=1104

Wimmera farmers looking for good rain to boost winter crop prospects.

Growers in the Wimmera are hoping for good rainfall - forecast for the weekend - to eventuate after weeks of dry conditions and boost winter crops.

Link from Dick's Daily Advertiser... https://www.mailtimes.com.au/story/6797359/wimmera-farmers-looking-for-good-rain-to-boost-winter-crops/?cs=12


BigShunter.
  Richard stroker Junior Train Controller

Thanks for the update BS , I do like the new names .
Although standard stroking may be a little close to home .

Let’s not forget Jack Frost in the equation of a bumper harvest , I hear there has been a few already and speculation of a good harvest is already driving prices down.

The growers might be happy with the weather, but not very happy about the prices floating about
  Y115 Assistant Commissioner

Location: Portland
IVS IBIS due to dock at Portland on 26/6, it appears a couple of grain trains are heading Portland way over the coming week.
trainbrain
8171, BL27 and 8133 on their way now, any other updates I'll post in the Portland Action thread tomorrow.
  rwatts Junior Train Controller

Location: Adelaide SA
The growers might be happy with the weather, but not very happy about the prices floating about
Richard stroker
A couple of years back I was talking to a relative who cropped in the Warracknabeal area.  They had just had a pretty good harvest but so had a number of competing countries leaving prices rather low.  Many farms with the ability to store their grain themselves were doing just that and betting on prices improving later.

Richard.
  Donald Chief Commissioner

Location: Donald. Duck country.
The way 2020 is panning out, I expect severe frosts followed by locusts to completely decimate the season!
Anything else would be a bonus.
  kuldalai Chief Commissioner

ABARES has just revised their February grain harvest forecasts for both wheat and canola upwards again to a well above average harvest for both those grains.  Barley hectares planted will be higher than predicted in February, but yield per hectare will be lower than expected.
  cbinyon Chief Train Controller

Location: London, England
PN BG grain on route to load at Quambatook for the second time this week tonight. PN SG grainy loaded at Dunolly today, currently awaiting a rescue loco from a DN PN grainy which is off to load at Underbool again. The Ultima Hay crossed the Underbool train at Maryborough.
  BigShunter Chief Commissioner

Location: St Clair. S.A.
PN BG grain on route to load at Quambatook for the second time this week tonight. PN SG grainy loaded at Dunolly today, currently awaiting a rescue loco from a DN PN grainy which is off to load at Underbool again. The Ultima Hay crossed the Underbool train at Maryborough.
cbinyon
Thanks for the update cb, you can keep them coming, so there's a bit of traffic happening on broadgauge, good to hear.

Better get cracking with the Carnot bypass through Bendigo....Idea

BigShunter.
  Carnot Minister for Railways

PN BG grain on route to load at Quambatook for the second time this week tonight. PN SG grainy loaded at Dunolly today, currently awaiting a rescue loco from a DN PN grainy which is off to load at Underbool again. The Ultima Hay crossed the Underbool train at Maryborough.
Thanks for the update cb, you can keep them coming, so there's a bit of traffic happening on broadgauge, good to hear.

Better get cracking with the Carnot bypass through Bendigo....Idea

BigShunter.
BigShunter
Jacinta will need to make an announcement sooner rather than later tbh.  But she's probably too preoccupied with the West Gate Tunnel debacle...

I suspect a decision will be made after the feds respond to the revised Murray Basin Rail business plan.
  cbinyon Chief Train Controller

Location: London, England
http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/outlooks/#/rainfall/summary

Another disappointing downwards revision following the so called wet winter that was predicted a few months back. We've had a dry June and now saying they'll be a dry July, but with wetter months to follow.

How long can the crops hold on without any decent rain? Will it be too late?

See the rainfall deciles part too which I find very interesting. You can change the time scale from one month up to years ago. Paints a stark reality.

http://www.bom.gov.au/jsp/awap/rain/index.jsp?colour=colour&time=latest&step=0&map=decile&period=month&area=nat
  Carnot Minister for Railways

August - October still looks like it'll more than likely be quite wet though. The crops got a good start in Autumn, and hopefully they'll get good finishing rains in Spring.

The Indian Ocean temps haven't been ideal of late, but that looks like changing for the better.
  Carnot Minister for Railways

August - October still looks like it'll more than likely be quite wet though. The crops got a good start in Autumn, and hopefully they'll get good finishing rains in Spring.

The Indian Ocean temps haven't been ideal of late, but that looks like changing for the better.
  Galron Chief Commissioner

Location: Werribee, Vic
If you can get your podcast device to talk to today’s Victorian country hour they had a bloke from somewhere other than the bom talking about the weather forecast and the climate indicators are all over the place. Suggesting La Niña in some places, but if you read beyond the fine print in normal La Niña conditions they don’t match. Bom is picking the option that is wanted, which may not happen.
  Richard stroker Junior Train Controller

It’s called dart board forecasting , on a Friday arvo the lads at bom get out the dart board, have a few ales , throw some darts and based on the results make up a forecast .
  Donald Chief Commissioner

Location: Donald. Duck country.
I recall commenting the day they forecast a wet winter I knew that they had jinxed the season.
  wobert Chief Commissioner

Location: Half way between Propodolla and Kinimakatka
Mice were becoming an issue around Nhill about a month or so ago, but they seem to have gone into lockdown as well.In my ceiling.
  BigShunter Chief Commissioner

Location: St Clair. S.A.
Some rail action on the Jeparit to Rainbow line, recently good news, the poster above is too busy trapping mice so this hasn't caught his attention....Razz

If I recall correctly there was a lot of grain up this line, so after the line has had a bit of work done to it, their into it.

https://www.facebook.com/DimboolaCourier/photos/a.350398444995960/3176581695710940/?type=3&theater

Link Dimboola Courier Facebook.

BigShunter.

actually to quick for my own self, there, not sure where that loading point is and click on the picture and have a scroll through the pictures from the local region, while ya have a cup of tea.
  BigShunter Chief Commissioner

Location: St Clair. S.A.
The squeeze has begun ! Bastards, thought this year was supposed to a wet one ?

Dry July a concern for croppers, but Gippsland cops a drenching.

THE FICKLE Australian climate is at it again.

And the same climate driver that is delivering the heavy falls over NSW and parts of Queensland is the reason the south is missing out.

A series of high pressure systems over southern Australia is acting like a positive phase of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM), which keeps conditions dry in the south and wetter further north.

In particular, South Australia has experienced one of its driest Julys on record, while much of western Victoria is also well below its average rainfall.

After a fantastic start, crops in the Wimmera and Mallee are still visually good but are starting to go off around treelines as a series of frosts knocks crops around.


Link from todays Wimmera MailTimes: https://www.mailtimes.com.au/story/6856199/horsham-on-track-for-driest-july-since-1997/?cs=12

Also some interesting pictures of comparison of crops over the last few years during July, shows how much each season can vary, pictures taken from the Donald area, which is supposed to be duck country.

BigShunter.
  nswtrains Chief Commissioner

The squeeze has begun ! Bastards, thought this year was supposed to a wet one ?

Dry July a concern for croppers, but Gippsland cops a drenching.

THE FICKLE Australian climate is at it again.

And the same climate driver that is delivering the heavy falls over NSW and parts of Queensland is the reason the south is missing out.

A series of high pressure systems over southern Australia is acting like a positive phase of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM), which keeps conditions dry in the south and wetter further north.

In particular, South Australia has experienced one of its driest Julys on record, while much of western Victoria is also well below its average rainfall.

After a fantastic start, crops in the Wimmera and Mallee are still visually good but are starting to go off around treelines as a series of frosts knocks crops around.


Link from todays Wimmera MailTimes: https://www.mailtimes.com.au/story/6856199/horsham-on-track-for-driest-july-since-1997/?cs=12

Also some interesting pictures of comparison of crops over the last few years during July, shows how much each season can vary, pictures taken from the Donald area, which is supposed to be duck country.

BigShunter.
BigShunter
Donald Duck???
  wobert Chief Commissioner

Location: Half way between Propodolla and Kinimakatka
Bit of blue starting to show up around Netherby, In Netherby there's still plenty of amber. Heard a rumour that up around Hopetoun it was absolutely magnificent, but looking for a drink now.
  BigShunter Chief Commissioner

Location: St Clair. S.A.
Also some interesting pictures of comparison of crops over the last few years during July, shows how much each season can vary, pictures taken from the Donald area, which is supposed to be duck country.

BigShunter.
Donald Duck???
nswtrains
Don't be silly or I'll reprimand you ! !

BigShunter.
  Valvegear Oliver Bullied, CME

Location: Richmond Vic
Don't be silly or I'll reprimand you ! !
"BigShunter"
Jeez; can anyone watch?

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