Federal Election 2022

 
Topic moved from The Lounge by bevans on 17 Feb 2022 11:38
  lsrailfan Minister for Railways

Location: Somewhere you're not
"I'm not so sure. I really have no clue as to how this will turn out - I was convinced Shorten would win by around 7 seats last time and it just didn't happen that way did it.
Don Dunstan

Mrs Doyle picked 2019 exactly, it went down hill for Shorten as soon as the Bully kept saying tax tax tax, and of course the kill bill strategy, this time people know who Morrison really is.

I still reckon 78 minimum
I thought LNP was cooked last time along with almost most others as its seems and all wrong.

This time, I feel the mood of the room of social media is more negative towards SCOMO and LNP and opnion polls more negative and hence I think LNP will loose and agree ALP by 5 -10 seats.
RTT_Rules
Then again, all of us could be proved wrong, that's the beauty (if you want to call it that) of election night.

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  bevans Site Admin

Location: Melbourne, Australia
Well i voted.
  lsrailfan Minister for Railways

Location: Somewhere you're not
The polls have closed in NSW/QLD/VIC.
  freightgate Minister for Railways

Location: Albury, New South Wales
Australia’s two party political system will disappear tonight. The minor parties will represent 30% of th repopulate vote tonight and Australia is heading into a new era.
  freightgate Minister for Railways

Location: Albury, New South Wales
United Australia party expected to poll well.
  freightgate Minister for Railways

Location: Albury, New South Wales
Mackellar in Sydney heading toward liberal defeat
  lsrailfan Minister for Railways

Location: Somewhere you're not
LNP off to a good start, LNP 4, ALP 0, Other 1.
  freightgate Minister for Railways

Location: Albury, New South Wales
Bennelomg and reid looking good for ALP
  lsrailfan Minister for Railways

Location: Somewhere you're not
Now it's LNP 9,ALP,0 Other 1.
  freightgate Minister for Railways

Location: Albury, New South Wales
Looking already impossible for the government.
  freightgate Minister for Railways

Location: Albury, New South Wales
Can’t at the moment see the government being returned.
  lsrailfan Minister for Railways

Location: Somewhere you're not
Only 5 the gap now, LNP45-ALP40, possible minority Labor Govt.
  freightgate Minister for Railways

Location: Albury, New South Wales
Dutton now in trouble

Libs could loose 9 seats.
  doyle Chief Commissioner

Here we go
  lsrailfan Minister for Railways

Location: Somewhere you're not
ALP-LNP 46-46.
  lsrailfan Minister for Railways

Location: Somewhere you're not
ALP now 52-46, they are steamrolling over the Libs now.
  lsrailfan Minister for Railways

Location: Somewhere you're not
ALP WILL be winning tonight, it's a question by how much 9 Radio is saying.
  justapassenger Minister for Railways

Important to remember that different prediction methods are used. As of 8:00/7:30/6:00 the counts as predicted by different sources are
ABC: L/NP 45, ALP 55, Other 5
Nine/Fairfax: L/NP 32, ALP 30, Other 6
News Ltd: L/NP 33, ALP 43, Other 5
Guardian: L/NP 12, ALP 2, Other 1

The AEC live results show it by candidate leading rather than predicting results, and currently has
L/NP leading 46, close leads in 8
ALP leading 61, close leads in 6
Others leading in 9

United Australia party expected to poll well.
freightgate
Craig Kelly has lost his seat, so UAP will need a new leader if they get any seats.
  lsrailfan Minister for Railways

Location: Somewhere you're not
Important to remember that different prediction methods are used. As of 8:00/7:30/6:00 the counts as predicted by different sources are
ABC: L/NP 45, ALP 55, Other 5
Nine/Fairfax: L/NP 32, ALP 30, Other 6
News Ltd: L/NP 33, ALP 43, Other 5
Guardian: L/NP 12, ALP 2, Other 1

The AEC live results show it by candidate leading rather than predicting results, and currently has
L/NP leading 46, close leads in 8
ALP leading 61, close leads in 6
Others leading in 9

United Australia party expected to poll well.
Craig Kelly has lost his seat, so UAP will need a new leader if they get any seats.
justapassenger
Sucked in Craig!!!
  freightgate Minister for Railways

Location: Albury, New South Wales
ALP will not have enough seats to form government probable.
  Aaron The Ghost of George Stephenson

Location: University of Adelaide SA

United Australia party expected to poll well.
Craig Kelly has lost his seat, so UAP will need a new leader if they get any seats.
justapassenger
Yup, I am not sure who will be PM next week, but it won't be Craig Kelly.
  freightgate Minister for Railways

Location: Albury, New South Wales
Greens could have 4 seats in the bag as Melbourne retained.
  RTT_Rules Oliver Bullied, CME

Location: Dubai UAE

United Australia party expected to poll well.
Craig Kelly has lost his seat, so UAP will need a new leader if they get any seats.Yup, I am not sure who will be PM next week, but it won't be Craig Kelly.
Aaron
SCOMO is now not going to be PM, but ALBO isn't exactly being embraced either.

We look like another ALP - GRN - IND govt, which is not a overwhelming win by the ALP and the pathway forward with one hand tied behind their back, ie 2010. If they can make it work, great. But we don't have a solid history of doing so at Fed or state level.

Also of interest is Steggall is going to retain her seat with a strong lead, supporting that her win over TA was not a fluke.
  Carnot Minister for Railways

What are the odds we will see a repeat of the chaos of 2010-2013?

Looking quite likely imo.
  lsrailfan Minister for Railways

Location: Somewhere you're not
Possible Majority Govt for the ALP I have just heard.

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