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As parts of the economy slowly reopen, greater numbers of Australians will return to workplaces – but there will be major issues in actually getting there.
Independent modelling has revealed that 84 per cent of all trips in peak hour on public transport won’t be possible if social distancing guidelines are enforced.
Authorities across the country are introducing measures to keep commuters as far apart as possible, in a bid to prevent a resurgence of coronavirus infections.
But in many cases, that’s likely to cause significant disruptions and could see some commuters struggle to get to work.
The Institute for Sensible Transport released modelling that shows Sydney will have to drastically reduce its planned 600,000 daily peak hour trips down to just 94,000 trips.
In Melbourne, there would need to be a drop from an anticipated 382,000 peak hour trips to just 58,000.
“It is difficult to overstate the scale of this challenge,” Liam Davies, senior transport analyst at the Institute, said.
“Never before in Australia’s history has there been a requirement for peak hour public transport to shed seven out of every eight passengers.”
MAJOR CHANGES NEEDED
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In order to meet the reduction in public transport trips in Sydney and Melbourne, Mr Davies modelled the most efficient scenarios in both cities.
In order to cope, he said dramatic changes will be necessary in Sydney, starting with 213,000 fewer passengers on public transport, another 206,000 continuing to work from home and about 82,000 using a bicycle to get to work.
In Melbourne, he said 137,000 people would need to avoid public transport during peak hour, 131,000 would have to stay working from home, and 54,000 would need to use a bike.
This article first appeared on www.themercury.com.au
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