I actually think the Vic Govt are correct in introducing road use charges for EVs, even if it riles wealthy Greenie elitists like Simon Holmes a Court.EV's tend to weigh a bit more, 30% or so. Which doesn't sound like much until you realise damage goes up as the 4th power...
2020 Camry weighs around 1500 kg, a Model 3 is 1600 - 1700 kg for the equivalent 2WD.
The slow uptake of EV's in Australia is basically driven by one thing, lack of suitable models. Australia is a dual cab market and they make up 20% of all new car sales and have been #1 and #2 for nearly 10 years. Yet there is no dual cab EV available, globally! When looking at Australian EV sales stats you need to focus on the class of cars available and how they compare against their ICE cousins, for example the Camry's EV competitor is the Model 3 although its still more closely but also has more features and again the focus should be on the non-base model Camry which is targeted to the Taxi and fleet buyers.
Roughly 13,000 Camry's sold in Oz (down 18%) vs 3000 Model 3's, that's nearly 20%.
Note, Camry's peak sales were 1999 with 45,000 units. The sedan market is dying globally and as such the variants on offer in Oz is also decreasing as I believe the V6 model will be history by mid year.
For my money, the Fed's or state for that matter involvement in EV's should be limited to
- Implementing standards for EV plugs, how range is calculated etc (EV plug standards wasn't implemented until only a few years ago which has caused significant harm to to the community acceptance)
- Supporting the roll out of fast charging stations (which is happening but lagging and again until people see charging stations everywhere they will assume they are still in short supply and range phobia will subdue demand)
- Removing luxury car tax
- Implementing an equivalent road tax system to replacement fuel excise tax that applies to both internal combustion, hybrid and EV equally.
- End of life battery recycling
There is no need to get involved with car subsidies. Most EV's are still luxury models and if you have +$60k to dump on a car a few grand refunded by the govt isn't going make you shift from Petrol to EV.
Another problem for the Australia EV market being RHD is currently limited EV options on top of poor local uptake. The LHD UAE has more EV sales than Australia. What is the point in providing a subsidy for Model 3's when I need a dual cab?
Yes the govt can and should look at a long-term phase out of internal combustion engine new car sales. Yes the Lib's ran a very successful campaign against the ALP during the previous election on this, both sides were both right and wrong. Billy wanted to introduce a policy without solving the other issues as mentioned above. However, the EV market moves quickly and the time is right to open this door. However getting public support will depend on the detail and govt needs to start talking to car manufacturers about what EV's they will have on offer and when in RHD that is aligned with the Aust car market. Also how to deal with the car applications that are not suited to EV's such as farmers, 4x4 campers etc.
Overall I think the small to medium sedan and SUV market can be forced to EV by 2030, at the latest. 4x4 will also likely be at the same time with exceptions.